Public statements and perceived divisions between Haruna Iddrisu and Asiedu Nketia may have negatively affected their standing in the latest Global Info Analytics tracking poll, according to insights shared by the research organisation.
The June tracking poll, conducted among 7,484 respondents across 84 constituencies, found that 32.5% of voters prefer Finance Minister Ato Forson to lead the NDC in 2028.
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He was followed by Asiedu Nketia with 21.2%, Haruna Iddrisu with 21.1%, and Professor Naana Jane Opoku-Agyemang with 8.5%.
Speaking on the findings, researchers pointed to a decline in support for one of the leading contenders, whose numbers dropped from 25% to 21.2%.
According to the analysis, the drop was linked to “the effect of what happened,” with researchers noting that statements made during the period were interpreted negatively by some voters.
The poll analysis suggested that public reactions to those comments contributed to the decline in support.
Researchers also emphasised that internal divisions within political parties can have electoral consequences.
“Any division in any party is not good,” the analysis noted, highlighting the importance of party unity in maintaining public confidence.
The relationship between Haruna Iddrisu and Asiedu Nketia was identified as particularly significant to the future direction of the NDC.
According to the poll analysis, both men are viewed as major power brokers within the party and play critical roles in shaping future leadership contests.
The researchers argued that cooperation between the two figures could significantly alter the dynamics of any future race.
“If they back each other, the game is over,” the analysis stated.
The findings also suggest that neither candidate can rely solely on personal support bases, making strategic alliances increasingly important.
The poll further revealed changing voter behaviour, particularly among younger voters who now make up the majority of the electorate.
According to the data, approximately 80% of voters are aged 44 or younger, while 43% are aged 34 or below.
Researchers said these voters are becoming more rational in their decision-making and are placing greater emphasis on performance and leadership qualities than on traditional party loyalty.
Performance was identified as a key factor influencing voter choices, while personality also played a role in shaping public opinion.
The analysis concluded that political figures seeking future leadership positions will need to prioritize unity, performance, and coalition-building as voters increasingly place national considerations above party loyalties.
